Key Factors Influencing Gulf Economic Forecasts for 2026

Oct 2019 Walid Majdalani, Head of Investcorp Private Equity MENA business, lays out the attractive opportunities of buying GCC Facilities, driven by the area's growth and federal government initiatives.

Diversification is attain a balanced economy,, Diversity visions and techniques exist. There were and The, by creating an index with no qualitative/perceptions signs. The total Worldwide EDI is composed of tracking. As product exporters diversify, lower their reliance on resource rents and potentially score a greater rating on the EDI.

For non-diversified countries, when cost of the commodity falls, there is a substantial decline in federal government revenue, public costs, bank account balance and international reserves: more volatility. The (consisting of major commodity exporters, not limited to simply oil) over the, across 25 indicators (including three digital indications). North America, Western Europe and East Asia Pacific nations top EDI scores throughout the years.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Despite the fact that structural reforms and diversification efforts carried out by the GCC affected MENA's local ratings positively, it still lags five other local groups., with the leading 10 nations having less than a 10-point distinction in ratings (suggesting the strength of diversity)., alongside 4 upper-middle earnings (China, Mexico, Turkey and Thailand) and one lower middle-income nation (India, ranked 20th, driven by its services export boom).

Amongst the e. nations ranked 51 to 70, the efficiency of Moldova, Indonesia, Armenia and Honduras stand out (when comparing 2024 vs 2000). years, offered accelerated diversification plans of many oil-exporting countries. posted a stable improvement due to a combination of lowered reliance on fuel exports, decreased exports concentration and a modification in the composition of exports.

Building Sustainable Investment Structures with Arabian Securities

with oil exporters having the most affordable ratings (though individual country-specific performance has differed in time). Tunisia, Morocco and Jordan have readings of 100+ as does the UAE while Algeria and Kuwait are on the other end of the spectrum. Across all regions, the median rating is the for both 2000 and 2024, and the highest in The United States and Canada.

In 2024, the (China was among the top ranked, while Mongolia's score intensified compared to 2000)., but more to do with a "levelling up" at the bottom instead of an improvement amongst the top countries. By comparing the (height of the blue box), least variability is seen in South Asia in 2000 and the most in the MENA area (with variation likely driven by the dichotomy within the region between the resource-heavy states (e.g.

Sub-Saharan African countries represent around one-third of the total, followed by Latin America and the Middle East (the latter 2 together accounting for over 40% of the overall). Including, there has been an (from 90.3 in 2000-04 to 92.6 and 92.3 in the five years pre- and post-pandemic ).

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

and ranked higher than others; UAE is up more than 45 places in 2024 compared to 2000 while Qatar climbed 24; both Saudi Arabia and Oman rose 17 ranks during the duration. The trapped or even worse off nations are some parts of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa where structural change has actually stalled.

shows a substantial increase in typical EDI ratings from 86.8 in 2000-04 to 92.6 in 2020-24, (up more than 10 points in the initial period versus 2020-24). with UAE outshining in the trade sub-index (supported by recent bilateral trade agreements & non-oil exports push). vs its pre-pandemic reading (partly offered the surge in medium & high-tech production data).

Why Economic Expansion Drives Middle East Stability for 2026

Its diversity metrics have stagnated, revealing the least improvement in between the initial (2000-04) and last (2020-24) recommendation periods., despite the headwinds of OPEC+ production cuts. A robust non-hydrocarbon growth was supported by the GCC's robust domestic demand (supported by a strong job pipeline and application) and strong services sector performance.

Kuwait and Saudi Arabia clocked in an increase in non-hydrocarbon revenue, "mainly showing non-hydrocarbon tax base growths and profits collection effectiveness enhancements", according to the IMF. In the current geopolitical environment identified by heightening, it remains in the very best interests of product dependent countries to diversify its export base, exports and trade partners.

Sub-Saharan African nations account for around one-third of the total, followed by Latin America and the Middle East (the latter 2 together representing over 40% of the overall). Consisting of, there has been an (from 90.3 in 2000-04 to 92.6 and 92.3 in the five years pre- and post-pandemic ).

and ranked higher than others; UAE is up more than 45 places in 2024 compared to 2000 while Qatar climbed 24; both Saudi Arabia and Oman rose 17 ranks throughout the period. The trapped or worse off countries are some parts of Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa where structural change has actually stalled.

Why the GCC Emerging as Global Industrial Powerhouse?

shows a considerable boost in average EDI scores from 86.8 in 2000-04 to 92.6 in 2020-24, (up more than 10 points in the preliminary duration versus 2020-24). with UAE exceeding in the trade sub-index (supported by current bilateral trade contracts & non-oil exports push). vs its pre-pandemic reading (partly provided the rise in medium & high-tech manufacturing data).

Its diversity metrics have actually stagnated, revealing the least improvement in between the preliminary (2000-04) and final (2020-24) referral periods., despite the headwinds of OPEC+ production cuts. A robust non-hydrocarbon growth was supported by the GCC's robust domestic need (supported by a strong project pipeline and implementation) and strong services sector efficiency.

Kuwait and Saudi Arabia clocked in an increase in non-hydrocarbon earnings, "primarily reflecting non-hydrocarbon tax base growths and profits collection efficiency enhancements", according to the IMF. In the present geopolitical environment defined by magnifying, it is in the best interests of commodity reliant countries to diversify its export base, exports and trade partners.